MA Yafei,DONG Xin,LI Xiang,et al.Time‑varying Fragility Analysis of Deteriorating RC Bridges under Three‑dimensional Earthquakes[J].Journal of Disaster Prevention and Mitigation Engineering,2025,45(03):593-601.
MA Yafei,DONG Xin,LI Xiang,et al.Time‑varying Fragility Analysis of Deteriorating RC Bridges under Three‑dimensional Earthquakes[J].Journal of Disaster Prevention and Mitigation Engineering,2025,45(03):593-601. DOI: 10.13409/j.cnki.jdpme.20231209001.
Time‑varying Fragility Analysis of Deteriorating RC Bridges under Three‑dimensional Earthquakes
Reinforced concrete (RC) bridges account for more than 90% of the total number of bridges in China. It is of great significance to conduct the seismic fragility assessment of RC bridges under multi-hazard scenarios to ensure the safety of the transportation network. In this study
a finite element model of the RC bridge was established based on OpenSees. The nonlinear time-history analysis of the bridge was carried out using the Incremental Dynamic Analysis method
and the seismic response values under earthquakes of different intensities were obtained. Combined with the logarithmic regression analysis of the demand-to-capacity ratio
the seismic fragility of the bridge was analyzed. Furthermore
the time-varying degradation mechanism of reinforcement was considered under chloride ion erosion
and the seismic fragility surfaces of the RC components were established. On this basis
a time-varying seismic fragility assessment model for the RC bridge system was established using the second-order bound estimation method
considering the correlation among components. The results showed that the fragility of RC bridge components and systems gradually increased with service time. The fragility of the bridge system was higher than that of each component. The probability of severe damage to pier 2# after 100 years under rare three-dimensional earthquake at 8-degree intensity was 12.5%
while that of the bridge system reached 18.5%. For all damage states
the exceedance probabilities of bridge components and the system under three-dimensional earthquakes were significantly higher than those under one-dimensional earthquakes. After 100 years of service
the probability of moderate damage to pier 2# under design-basis three-dimensional earthquake at 8-degree intensity was 22.4%
compared to just 2% under one-dimensional earthquake. This study can provide references for the optimization design and evaluation of seismic performance of bridge structures throughout their life cycle.
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