

浏览全部资源
扫码关注微信
1.中国水利水电科学研究院,北京100038
2.水利部防洪抗旱减灾工程技术研究中心,北京100038
Received:07 September 2023,
Revised:2023-10-12,
Published:25 April 2024
移动端阅览
赵超辉,万金红.极端暴雨下不可移动文物脆弱性分析[J].防灾减灾工程学报,2024,44(02):283-292.
ZHAO Chaohui,WAN Jinhong.Analysis of Vulnerability of Immovable Cultural Relics in Extreme Rainstorm[J].Journal of Disaster Prevention and Mitigation Engineering,2024,44(02):283-292.
赵超辉,万金红.极端暴雨下不可移动文物脆弱性分析[J].防灾减灾工程学报,2024,44(02):283-292. DOI: 10.13409/j.cnki.jdpme.20230907004.
ZHAO Chaohui,WAN Jinhong.Analysis of Vulnerability of Immovable Cultural Relics in Extreme Rainstorm[J].Journal of Disaster Prevention and Mitigation Engineering,2024,44(02):283-292. DOI: 10.13409/j.cnki.jdpme.20230907004.
暴雨灾害往往会对不可移动文物造成极大破坏,对灾后文物的损毁情况进行分析研究,可为不可移动文物的预防性保护工作提供重要参考。通过对2021年河南“7.20”暴雨中188处不可移动文物灾后调查资料的整理统计,分析了受灾文物损毁情况的差异性特征,归纳不可移动文物在暴雨灾害中的损毁形式表现为暴雨冲刷、积水浸泡造成的缓慢侵蚀破坏和洪水冲击、泥石流破坏造成的急剧动力破坏形式。另外,选取过程降雨量来表征暴雨灾害的危险性强度,构建了基于Lognormal概率分布函数的受灾文物损失状态脆弱性曲线模型,分别从结构材料、建筑规模、保存状态三方面综合分析不可移动文物的脆弱性特征。研究结果表明,砖土结构文物相比于砖木、砖石结构文物的脆弱性更强,当降雨量超过100 mm时有较高概率发生严重破坏,砖木、砖石结构文物在降雨量超过340 mm时有较高概率发生严重破坏;建筑面积在100 m
2
以下文物的脆弱性最高,极端暴雨灾害更容易对其造成严重破坏;相同降雨量下保存状态越差,文物脆弱性越强,其中保存状态较差的文物在极低降雨量(≤25 mm)有较高概率发生严重破坏。
Extreme rainstorms often cause great damage to immovable cultural relics. Analysis on the post-disaster damage can provide crucial insights for effective preventive measures. Through compiling post-disaster survey data from 188 immovable cultural relics affected by the "7·20" rainstorm in Henan Province in 2021
different characteristics of damage were analyzed. Damage types were categorized into: slow erosion and deterioration caused by rainstorm runoff and water immersion
as well as sudden destruction due to flood impact and debris flow. In addition
accumulated rainfall was used to characterize the hazard intensity of rainstorm disasters
and a vulnerability curve model based on Lognormal probability distribution function was constructed. The vulnerability characteristics of immovable cultural relics were comprehensively analyzed
considering structural materials
building scale
and preservation state. The results showed that brick-soil structure relics were more vulnerable than brick-wood and brick-stone structures
with a higher probability of serious damage when rainfall exceeded 100 mm. Brick-wood and brick-stone structure relics had a higher probability of serious damage when rainfall exceeded 340 mm. Cultural relics with construction areas under 100 m
2
were particularly vulnerable
experiencing severe damage during extreme rainstorms. Cultural relics in poor preservation states were more vulnerable and had a higher probability of serious damage even at very low rainfall intensity (less than 25 mm).
丁燕 , 于冰 . 文物保护单位名录汇总情况分析与规范化探讨 [J]. 中国文化遗产 , 2021 , 18 ( 3 ): 51 ‑ 57 .
Ding Y , Yu B . Analysis and standardization of the list of cultural relics protection units [J]. China Cultural Heritage , 2021 , 18 ( 3 ): 51 ‑ 57 . (in Chinese)
赵夏 , 乔云飞 . 基于历史自然灾害研究的不可移动文物自然灾害风险管理与预防思考 [J]. 中国文化遗产 , 2021 , 18 ( 4 ): 12 ‑ 18 .
Zhao X , Qiao Y F . Natural disaster risk management and prevention of unmovable cultural relics based on historical natural disaster research [J]. China Cultural Heritage , 2021 , 18 ( 4 ): 12 ‑ 18 . (in Chinese)
赵超辉 , 万金红 , 张云霞 , 等 . 城市内涝特征、成因及应对研究综述 [J]. 灾害学 , 2023 , 38 ( 1 ): 220 ‑ 228 .
Zhao C H , Wan J H , Zhang Y X , et al . Review of the characteristics,causes and govermance of urban flood in China [J]. Journal of Catastrophology , 2023 , 38 ( 1 ): 220 ‑ 228 . (in Chinese)
中国文化遗产研究院 . 中国世界文化遗产2020年度保护状况总报告 [J]. 中国文化遗产 , 2021 , 18 ( 5 ): 64 ‑ 79 .
China Academy of Cultural Heritage . General report on the protection of world cultural heritage in China 2020 [J]. China Cultural Heritage , 2021 , 18 ( 5 ): 64 ‑ 79 . (in Chinese)
王思思 , 王昊玥 . 国际城市及遗产地洪水风险管理的启示 [J]. 人民黄河 , 2020 , 42 ( 5 ): 40 ‑ 46 .
Wang S S , Wang H Y . Enlightenment of flood risk management in international cities and heritage Sites [J]. Yellow River , 2020 , 42 ( 5 ): 40 ‑ 46 . (in Chinese)
乔文慧 , 王强 . 城市文化遗产洪涝灾害风险评估模型构建——以广州市为例 [J]. 地域研究与开发 , 2020 , 39 ( 2 ): 127 ‑ 131,150 .
Qiao W H , Wang Q . Flood risk assessment model for urban cultural heritage—a case study of Guangzhou [J]. Areal Research and Development , 2020 , 39 ( 2 ): 127 ‑ 131,150 . (in Chinese)
汪怡 , 梁龙 , 孙延忠 , 等 . 山西省不可移动文物洪涝灾害风险研究 [J]. 自然灾害学报 , 2022 , 31 ( 3 ): 35 ‑ 47 .
Wang Y , Liang L , Sun Y Z , et al . Research on flood disaster risk of immovable cultural relics in Shanxi Province [J]. Journal of Natureal Disasters , 2022 , 31 ( 3 ): 35 ‑ 47 . (in Chinese)
徐澯 , 宫阿都 , 包文轩 . 基于机器学习的不可移动文物暴雨灾害风险评估——以山西省为例 [J]. 自然灾害学报 , 2023 , 32 ( 4 ): 25 ‑ 35 .
Xu C , Gong A D , Bao W X . Machine learning‑based storm disaster risk assessment of immovable cultural relics: A case study of Shanxi Province [J]. Journal of Natureal Disasters , 2023 , 32 ( 4 ): 25 ‑ 35 . (in Chinese)
国务院灾害调查组 . 河南郑州“7·20”特大暴雨灾害调查报告 [R]. 北京 : 国务院灾害调查组 , 2021 .
Disaster Investigation Group of the State Council . Henan Zhengzhou "7.20" heavy rainstorm disaster investigation report [R]. Beijing : 2021 . (in Chinese)
河南省人民政府 . 河南概况 [EB/OL].[ 2021‑04‑30 ]. https:∥www.henan.gov.cn/2018/05-31/2408.html. The Government of Henan Provincial. Overview of Henan https://www.henan.gov.cn/2018/05-31/2408.html.TheGovernmentofHenanProvincial.OverviewofHenan [EB/OL][ 2021‑04‑30 ]. https:∥www.henan.gov.cn/2018/05-31/2408.html. https://www.henan.gov.cn/2018/05-31/2408.html. (in Chinese)
许甲甲 . 河南省文物古迹空间分布及旅游开发布局研究 [D]. 江西 : 东华理工大学 , 2018 .
Xu J J . Study on spatial distribution and tourism development of cultural relics in Henan Province [D]. Jiangxi : East China University of Technology , 2018 . (in Chinese)
朱耀先 , 周远方 . 河南大遗址旅游产业开发研究 [J]. 学习论坛 , 2014 , 30 ( 10 ): 65 ‑ 69 .
Zhu Y X , Zhou Y F . Henan ruins tourism industry development research [J]. Tribune of Study , 2014 , 30 ( 10 ): 65 ‑ 69 . (in Chinese)
河南省人民政府 . 河南第三次全国文物普查获国家终审普查不可移动文物 65519 处[EB/OL].[ 2011‑11‑01 ]. https:∥www.henan.gov.cn/2011/11-01/309051.html https://www.henan.gov.cn/2011/11-01/309051.html .
The Government of Henan Provincial . There are 65 , 519 immovable cultural relics in the third national cultural relics census of Henan Province[EB/OL][ 2011‑11‑01 ]. https:∥www.henan.gov.cn/2011/11-01/309051.html. https://www.henan.gov.cn/2011/11-01/309051.html. (in Chinese)
河南省人民政府 . 2021年河南省国民经济和社会发展统计公报 [EB/OL][ 2022‑03‑12 ]. https:∥www.henan.gov.cn/2022/03-12/2413033.html https://www.henan.gov.cn/2022/03-12/2413033.html .
The Government of Henan Provincial . Statistical bulletin of national economic and social development of Henan Province in 2021 [EB/OL][ 2022‑03‑12 ]. https:∥www.henan.gov.cn/2022/03-12/2413033.html. https://www.henan.gov.cn/2022/03-12/2413033.html. (in Chinese)
李向东 , 吴崇可 . 强降雨环境下文物受灾情况调查评估及预防性保护措施——以河南“7·20”特大暴雨灾害为例 [J]. 中国文化遗产 , 2023 , 113 ( 1 ): 91 ‑ 98 .
Li X , Wu C K . Investigation and assessment of the disaster situation of cultural relics under heavy rainfall environment and preventive protection measures‑Taking the "7·20" torrential rain disaster in Henan Province as an example [J]. China Cultural Heritage , 2023 , 113 ( 1 ): 91 ‑ 98 . (in Chinese)
蒋新宇 , 马雪莹 , 杨丽娇 . 回归分析框架下洪涝灾害脆弱性曲线构建方法综合比较研究 [J]. 水利学报 , 2023 , 54 ( 2 ): 184 ‑ 198 .
Jiang X Y , Ma X Y , Yang L J . Comprehensive comparative study on the construction method of flood vulnerability and fragility curves under the framework of regression analysis [J]. Journal of Hydraulic Engineering , 2023 , 54 ( 2 ): 184 ‑ 198 . (in Chinese)
曹诗嘉 , 方伟华 , 谭骏 . 基于海南省“威马逊”及“海鸥”台风次生海岸洪水灾后问卷调查的室内财产脆弱性研究 [J]. 灾害学 , 2016 , 31 ( 2 ): 188 ‑ 195 .
Cao S J , Fang W H , Tan J . Vulnerability of building contents to coastal flooding based on questionnaire survey in hainan after typhoon rammasun and kalmeagi [J]. Journal of Catastrophology , 2016 , 31 ( 2 ): 188 ‑ 195 . (in Chinese)
Li W J , Wen J H , Xu B , et al . Integrated assessment of economic losses in manufacturing industry in shanghai metropolitan area under an extreme storm flood scenario [J]. Sustainability , 2019 , 11 ( 1 ): 126 ‑ 126 .
Yang L J , Kajitani Y , Tatano H , et al . A methodology for estimating business interruption loss caused by flood disasters: insights from business surveys after Tokai Heavy Rain in Japan [J]. Natural Hazards , 2016 , 84 ( Sup1 ): 411 ‑ 430 .
Shinozuka M , Feng Q M , Lee J , et al . Statistical analysis of fragility curves [J]. Journal of Engineering Mechanics , 2000 , 126 ( 12 ): 1224 ‑ 1231 .
Art B O . Empirical likelihood ratio confidence intervals for a single functional [J]. Biometrika , 1988 , 75 ( 2 ): 237 ‑ 249 .
Thomas D C , Peter H , Joseph R . Empirical likelihood is bartlett‑correctable [J]. The Annals of Statistics , 1991 , 19 ( 2 ); 1053 ‑ 1061 .
Xu C , Gong A , Liang L , et al . Vulnerability assessment method for immovable cultural relics based on artificial neural networks——an example of a heavy rainfall event in Henan Province [J]. International Journal of Disaster Risk Science , 2023 , 14 ( 1 ): 41 ‑ 51 .
Ilan K , Robin S . An overview of flood actions on buildings [J]. Engineering Geology , 2004 , 73 ( 3 ) : 297 ‑ 309 .
杨浩 , 周文 , 汪小康 , 等 .“ 21·7”河南特大暴雨降水特征及极端性分析 [J]. 气象 , 2022 , 48 ( 5 ): 571 ‑ 579 .
Yang H , Zhou W , Wang X K , et al . Analysis on extremity and characteristics of the"21·7"severe torrential rain in Henan Province [J]. Meteorological Monthly , 2022 , 48 ( 5 ): 571 ‑ 579 . (in Chinese) .
许萍 , 刘壮壮 , 秦嘉琦 , 等 . 基于Fluent模拟降雨对木结构古建筑室内温湿度的影响 [J]. 林产工业 , 2021 , 58 ( 8 ): 85 ‑ 89,92 .
Xu P , Liu Z Z , Qin J Q , et al . Influence of rainfall on the indoor temperature and humidity of an ancient timber building based on fluent simulation [J]. China Forest Products Industry , 2021 , 58 ( 8 ): 85 ‑ 89,92 . (in Chinese)
孙延忠 . 洪涝灾害下的古遗址脆弱性影响因素分析 [J]. 中国文化遗产 , 2021 , 18 ( 4 ): 19 ‑ 23 .
Sun Y Z . Analysis about the influencing factors of the vulnerability of ancient sites under the flood disaster [J]. China Cultural Heritage , 2021 , 18 ( 4 ): 19 ‑ 23 . (in Chinese)
刘世杰 , 兰恒星 , 包含 , 等 . 石窟寺典型工程地质变形破坏模式及分类体系 [J]. 地球科学 , 2022 , 47 ( 12 ): 1 ‑ 14 .
Liu S J , Lan H X , Bao H , et al . Classification system of typical engineering geological deformation and failure modes in grottoes [J]. Earth Science , 2022 , 47 ( 12 ): 1 ‑ 14 . (in Chinese)
朱才辉 , 刘钦佩 , 周远强 . 古建筑砖‑土结构力学性能及裂缝成因分析 [J]. 建筑结构学报 , 2019 , 40 ( 9 ): 175 ‑ 186 .
Zhu C H , Liu Q P , Zhou Y Q . Mechanical properties and cracking analysis of brick‑clay structure of ancient building [J]. Journal of Building Structures , 2019 , 40 ( 9 ): 175 ‑ 186 . (in Chinese)
李钢 , 秦佩瑶 , 董志骞 , 等 . 地震与洪水作用下结构风险分析与设计研究进展 [J]. 防灾减灾工程学报 , 2022 , 42 ( 2 ): 237 ‑ 250 .
Li G , Qin P Y , Dong Z Q , et al . Research progress on risk analysis and design for structures under multiple hazards of earthquake and flood [J]. Journal of Disaster Prevention and Mitigation Engineering , 2022 , 42 ( 2 ): 237 ‑ 250 . (in Chinese)
胡凯衡 , 崔鹏 , 葛永刚 . 舟曲“8.8”特大泥石流对建筑物的破坏方式 [J]. 山地学报 , 2012 , 30 ( 4 ): 484 ‑ 490 .
Hu K H , Cui P , Ge Y G . Building destruction patterns by August 8,2010 debris flowmin Zhouqu, Western China [J]. Journal of Mountain Science , 2012 , 30 ( 4 ): 484 ‑ 490 . (in Chinese)
孙延忠 , 乔云飞 . 不可移动文物脆弱性的概念及内涵 [J]. 自然与文化遗产研究 , 2022 , 7 ( 5 ): 26 ‑ 31 .
Sun Y Z , Qiao Y F . The concept and connotation of the vulnerability of immovable cultural relics [J]. Study on Natural and Cultural Heritage , 2022 , 7 ( 5 ): 26 ‑ 31 . (in Chinese)
0
Views
0
下载量
0
CSCD
Publicity Resources
Related Articles
Related Author
Related Institution
苏公网安备32010202012147号