Precursor Anomaly Recognition and Testing Forecast of Ground Fluid  Water before Heze M5.9 Earthquake in 1983

耿杰; 张玲; 石玉燕

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Precursor Anomaly Recognition and Testing Forecast of Ground Fluid Water before Heze M5.9 Earthquake in 1983

更新时间：2025-12-11

- Precursor Anomaly Recognition and Testing Forecast of Ground Fluid Water before Heze M5.9 Earthquake in 1983
- Issue 3, Pages: 45-50(2003)
- 作者机构：
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  CLC： 315.723
- Published：2003
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[1]耿杰,张玲,石玉燕.1983年山东菏泽5.9级地震地下流体前兆异常识别与检验性预测[J].防灾减灾工程学报,2003(03):45-50.

耿杰, 张玲, 石玉燕. Precursor Anomaly Recognition and Testing Forecast of Ground Fluid Water before Heze M5.9 Earthquake in 1983[J]. 2003, (3): 45-50.
[1]耿杰,张玲,石玉燕.1983年山东菏泽5.9级地震地下流体前兆异常识别与检验性预测[J].防灾减灾工程学报,2003(03):45-50. DOI：

耿杰, 张玲, 石玉燕. Precursor Anomaly Recognition and Testing Forecast of Ground Fluid Water before Heze M5.9 Earthquake in 1983[J]. 2003, (3): 45-50. DOI：

摘要

对1983-11-07山东菏泽5.9级地震前地下流体前兆异常特征进行了识别与研究

分析了菏泽5.9级地震前地下流体前兆异常的阶段性、层次性和同步性特征

利用震前地下流体高频突变异常频次速率和异常频次累加值的变化

采用地下流体层次跟踪震情预测方法对菏泽5.9级地震长期、中期和短临三个时间尺度的震情进行了检验性预测。

Abstract

Based on the method of anomaly recognition and mark system for the precursor subject

the characteristics of precursor anomaly of the ground fluid have been identified and studied during the Heze M59 earthquake in 1983 and the features of stages

layer and synchronism of precursor anomaly of ground fluid were analyzed. Using the method of the multilayered prediction on ground fluid anomaly variations

the long term

medium term and short term forecast has been tested for the Heze M5.9 earthquake based on variations of change rate of anomaly frequency and accumulated anomaly frequency of ground fluid before the earthquake.

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references

中强地震前山东地下流体地震前兆模糊分维特征研究 [J]. 耿杰,魏焕,张昭栋. 地震研究 . 1997(03)

聊古─井水溶气体的震前异常特征 [J]. 耿杰. 地震研究 . 1996(04)

1983年菏泽5.9级地震与深井水位的变化 [J]. No. 4 Research Office (Shandong Research Center for Earthquake Prediction). 地震研究 . 1990(01)

水文地球化学地震前兆观测与新灵敏组分的探索 [J]. 张炜,阎立璋,申春生,魏家珍. 地震 . 1987(05)

菏泽5.9级地震震中区地下水异常特征 [J]. 苏鸾声,汪成民,赵宪超,黄保起. 地震 . 1984(03)

地下流体地震预报方法[M]. 地震出版社 , 国家地震局预测预防司编, 1997

中国震例[M]. 地震出版社 , 张肇诚主编, 1990

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