纸质出版:2006
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[1]刘威,李杰.埋地管线腐蚀模型及地震随机反应分析[J].防灾减灾工程学报,2006(02):153-157.
刘威, 李杰. A Corrosion Model of Buried Pipeline and Stochastic Response of Pipeline under Earthquake[J]. 2006, (2): 153-157.
埋地管线在使用过程中会出现不同程度的腐蚀现象。由于管线腐蚀受到周围土壤性质、输送介质等不确定因素的影响
其腐蚀状态会呈现随机性的特点。本文利用带吸收壁的齐次马尔可夫链理论
提出了管线腐蚀发生的离散状态模型
并根据管线腐蚀线性发展模型
推导给出了管线截面面积随时间变化的概率模型。在此基础上
利用弹性地基梁原理建立了管线地震反应的表达式
并利用M on te-C arlo随机模拟方法进行了模拟分析。实例分析表明
本文建立的腐蚀模型可以较好地模拟埋地管线的腐蚀现象
并能获得在地震激励下腐蚀管线的随机反应。
Corrosion will appear inside and outside of buried pipelines gradually as the service time increases.However
as the characteristics of the soil around the pipeline and the conveying material inside the pipeline are undetermined
the corrosion state of buried pipeline must be stochastic.In this paper
homogeneous Markov chain with absorbing barrier
an effect mathematics tool for simulating the evolution of system with discrete states
is used to simulate the occurrence of corrosion on the pipeline.Combined with linear corrosion development model
the probability distribution of the pipeline section area is derived.On the basis of above corrosion model of pipeline
elastic foundation beam method
a classical elastic method for analyzing the seismic response of pipeline subject to seismic wave propagation
is used to express the seismic displacement and stress of pipeline as the function of the random variable
pipe segments section areas.Then by use of Monte Carlo random simulation method
the mean and standard deviation of the seismic response of the pipeline are obtained.In order to validate the proposed model
a 100 meters long pipeline
whose diameter is 325 mm and thick is 16 mm
is investigated in detail.First
the probability distribution of the pipeline section area is obtained after it has served 50 years.Then
the mean and standard deviation of the pipeline displacement and stress are obtained subject to a real seismic wave.The results indicate that the proposed approach can efficiently simulate the corrosion state of the buried pipeline.Also
from the random seismic response of the pipeline
it is found that the variability of the pipeline section area is almost same as that of the pipeline seismic stress and that the corrosion has littlie effect on the variability of pipeline seismic displacement.
鲁宁输油管道腐蚀调查分析与对策 [J]. 赵庆华. 腐蚀与防护 . 2002(03)
现役液化气管道腐蚀损伤状况评价和预测 [J]. 李志,张艳,王亚平,孙智勇. 材料保护 . 2001(11)
煤气管道的电化学腐蚀与防腐蚀措施浅析 [J]. 王晓华,卫月琴,朱红卫,谭虎. 煤化工 . 2001(02)
随机过程及其应用[M]. 清华大学出版社 , 陆大(纟金) 编著, 1986
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