纸质出版:2005
移动端阅览
[1]朱庆杰,苏幼坡.唐山市地质灾害综合防灾研究[J].防灾减灾工程学报,2005(03):309-314.
朱庆杰, 苏幼坡. Research on Integrated Geohazard Prevention in Tangshan City[J]. 2005, (3): 309-314.
发生在城市的自然灾害往往表现出相互联系综合成灾的特点
综合防灾是城市防灾减灾的关键。根据唐山市的实际资料
分析了该市地质灾害的主要灾种和综合成灾特点以及控制综合成灾的主要影响因素
提出了唐山市综合成灾的模式和过程。针对各种致灾因子间关联关系的复杂性
建立了基于人工神经网络的综合成灾危险性评价模型
依据唐山市的实际资料和综合成灾过程分析结果
确定了模型因子和关联系数矩阵。应用所建的综合成灾危险性评价模型
结合城市地理信息系统图件
预测了唐山市地质灾害综合成灾危险性的分布。分析了计算结果
并对唐山市的地质灾害综合防灾工作提出了几点建议。
The potential geohazards threatening the Tangshan city consist of earthquake and other hazards such as karstic collapse
ground subsidence caused by coal mining
and etc.The characteristics and influence factors of main geohazards in Tangshan city are analyzed
and the integrated model and forming mechanism of geohazards are investigated.The destruction effects of geohazards in Tangshan city
are controlled by many factors
the relationship of which cannot be expressed as linear functions.Potential risks of geohazards are related to seismic movement
fracturing of bed rock
karstic collapse
site category and landform.Since quantitative relationships among these influence factors are difficult to be obtained using traditional methods
the multivariate nonlinear model based on artificial neural network is employed.With this model
the distribution of geohazard risks in Tangshan city is calculated with reasonable precision.In the calculation
the learning coefficient is taken as 1.2
the inertia coefficient as 0.5
the number of hidden layer as 2
the number of elements as 6 in No.1 hidden layer
and 3 in No.2 hidden layer.The geohazard risk of Tangshan city is evaluated and the distribution of geohazard risk is investigated.The results show that the geohazard risk of Tangshan city is greater than that most other areas by 40 percent
even by 70 percent greater than some local areas.Also
it is found that the geohazard risk decreases gradually from southeast to northwest.Finally
the influences of geohazard risk distribution on city planning and engineering construction are analyzed and some suggestions are given for these purposes.
唐山市基岩破裂对地震动的影响分析 [J]. 刘廷权,朱庆杰,苏幼坡,张秀彦. 岩石力学与工程学报 . 2004(10)
基岩条件对地震影响系数的影响 [J]. 朱庆杰,苏幼坡. 岩土工程学报 . 2004(02)
唐山市岩溶塌陷的神经网络预测模型 [J]. 朱庆杰,刘挺权,张秀彦. 辽宁工程技术大学学报 . 2003(06)
关于防灾减灾预警机制及预警工程的若干讨论 [J]. 杨军. 防灾减灾工程学报 . 2003(02)
基于格里菲斯准则的地下岩体天然裂缝分布的有限元模拟研究 [J]. 陈艳华,朱庆杰,苏幼坡. 岩石力学与工程学报 . 2003(03)
中国城市地震研究概述 [J]. 时振梁,曹学锋,闫秀杰. 中国地震 . 2002(04)
地震灾害风险分析及管理初探 [J]. 和飞,缪升. 地震研究 . 2002(04)
唐山市岩溶塌陷区域风险评价 [J]. 胡瑞林,王思敬,李焯芬,向缉熙. 岩石力学与工程学报 . 2001(02)
The Main Features of the Local Geological Conditions Can Explain the Macroseismic Intensity Caused in Xiji-Langfu (Beijing) by the Ms = 7.7 Tangshan 1976 Earthquake [J] . R. Sun,F. Vaccari,F. Marrara,G. F. Panza. Pure and Applied Geophysics . 1998 (3)
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